Clipper Race: Sizzling finish in Sydney:
(December 15, 2017; Day 13) – Sanya Serenity Coast claimed victory today in a thrilling finale to Race 4: The ClipperTelemed+ Tasman Test, the first stage of the All-Australian Leg of the Clipper 2017-18 Round the World Yacht Race.
It was one of the tightest ever Clipper Race finishes into Sydney, which saw the top three teams finish with an hour and half of each other after 12 days racing around 2500 nautical miles from Fremantle, Western Australia, past the South of Tasmania and a hard slog upwind towards the Sydney Heads.
Qingdao, Sanya Serenity Coast and Visit Seattle had been in the top half of the fleet since Day 3 of the race and occupied the podium positions since Day …
Full Article: Scuttlebutt Sailing News – Clipper Race: Sizzling finish in Sydney, Editor
Medals awarded at Youth Sailing Worlds:
Sanya, China (December 15, 2017) – The final day of the 2017 Youth Sailing World Championships delivered gorgeous sunshine and a consistent 12 knot easterly breeze to complete one final race for each of the nine events.
American twin sisters Carmen and Emma Cowles claimed a stylish gold medal in the Girls 420 with a race win. They finished 26-points ahead of Violette Dorange and Camille Orion (FRA) and Arianna Passamonti and Giulia Fava (ITA) who completed the podium.
“Right now we’re trying to digest it,” said the sisters in unison. “It’s still sinking in. We’re going to tell our mother and sister, they’ve been following it from afar,…
Full Article: Scuttlebutt Sailing News – Medals awarded at Youth Sailing Worlds, Editor
All post positions are not equal when it comes to a horse’s chances of winning a race. If you check the post position statistics for any track that you are planning to bet on, you’ll find that some posts have an advantage over the others. So if a horse raced from a disadvantageous post in its last race and moves to a favorable one, how will it help?
If you are trying to pick horse racing winners there is a way to see if that change in post position will be enough to score a win. You’ll have to do some research and spend some time creating a list of horses, but it will be worthwhile if your goal is to make money betting on the horses.
Here is what you do, first of all, get the stats and see which post(s) are the worst and which are the best. If post position 1 has a win average of 12% and post position 7 has a win average of 6%, it appears that post 1 is twice as good as post 7. Now here is the disclaimer, there may be many factors why a horse won or loss from that post and it doesn’t mean that one post is twice as good as another. Another consideration is how many races are you using to arrive at those percentages? The more races the more reliable the study, right?
Well, maybe, it is more reliable and maybe not. While it is a good thing to have more races to be sure of accuracy and overcoming any anomalies, if the statistics include different seasons and periods of wet tracks and off tracks or sealed tracks, then it may not reflect the true condition of today’s track or the post position bias. Try to use races that were run in the same season and weather conditions as today’s race.
Do some research and find as many cases of horses who raced from the worst post and then moved to the better post and note the times of each race. You should see a pattern of improvement in the speed figures for each horse when it raced from the better post position. This is a very general study and doesn’t take into account all the other variables, but it may show some kind of pattern and give you an idea of how much that one factor will improve a horse’s performance.
Now, the next step is to find horses going from the good to the bad post or from the bad to the good post. Either situation will result in a change in final times and speed figures and you can factor that into your handicapping. So if you see a horse that can win at the level of today’s race with a speed of 88 (the par speed figure for that distance and class) and you think the difference in post will help it to achieve that speed rating, then you have a winner, maybe.
Just remember that there are many variables that can affect a horse’s performance and try to factor in as many as you can and finally, bet with your head and not over it. Enjoy your days at the races.
The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com and get the truth.